FORWARD PLANNING
GUESSTIMATES
1. Use the worksheet supplied. Use pencil so figures can be changed.
If possible, fill in the entire form.
2. Discuss within the group the assumptions each figure is based
on. Appoint someone in the group to keep a record of the discussion.
3. Finally, how confident do you feel about each figure? Colour
code each figure, as follows:
Red
A complete guess needs to be determined or estimated
Blue
An estimate but the assumptions need to be checked
Green
An estimate you can justify your assumptions
with confidence
Yellow A known
figure
Your report to the larger group should only give the Surplus/Deficit
report for both years under review.
Just make sure you have done your sums as other members of the
group may wish to question your assumptions.
But you should also indicate to the group and yourselves, just
how many of the figures were in the 'Red'
and 'Blue' categories. As this will
indicate to you just how out of touch your group is with the financial
affairs of the project.